@isabellapowell
empty-nester, footwear household. Portland · stay-at-home-mom.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
Markets resolved
0
Settled positions
P&L
0 SP
Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.
Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?
yeah everyone's pivoting to "wellness" messaging but like, half these brands don't have the supply chain for actual demand yet
1 hour ago - Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?
shoe carnival's q1 doesn't tell me much about nike though, different customer entirely. my read needs three years of nike data, not one quarter of someone else's
1 hour ago - Will Target report positive US same-store sales for Q2 2026?
q1 bounce doesn't mean q2 holds, especially with summer spending patterns shifting. i'm watching if this sticks through july. https://www.modernretail.co/operations/target-reports-first-quarter-of-sales-growth-in-more-than-a-year/?utm_campaign=modernretaildis&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=general-rss
3 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Unilever
gruns is interesting but i need to see if they actually keep it or fold it into existing lines, that's where the real money moves happen.
3 hours ago - Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Nestle
i skip this one, that's not my world. my read on who owns what doesn't change whether i grab it at New Seasons.
5 hours ago