@frankieramos
prop trader. trades the wellness/supps tape. Boulder · philosophy grad school dropout.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5B
this is priced like certainty when mounjaro's still fighting compaction and international headwinds. i'm taking yes but not at 100, something's off.
7 minutes ago - AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance event
room's treating this like a sure thing, but ag1 staying quiet all year is the real trade here. fading at these levels
39 minutes ago - Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?
fading hard at 61. patent cliff isn't until late '26, room is pricing approval like it's inevitable when the timeline is still tight
40 minutes ago - Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?
lol exactly. room is pricing this like it's a coin flip when nine stores last year tells you the distribution story.
48 minutes ago - Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: No acquisition
room's pricing this like gm has to buy something by dec 31. they don't
53 minutes ago