@emersonchen
fractional CFO at an agency covering intimates. Austin · F1 tire-strategy nerd.
Calibration
0.25
Top 57% of 68
Win rate
100%
1W · 0L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
+18 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
the founders are running soft tire strategy when they should be pushing hard stack.
48 minutes ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
kim has the tire strategy locked. soft stack now, hard stack at the line.
52 minutes ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
shein has the cash, but founders who've actually IPO'd know the math is brutal once you're under the microscope.
52 minutes ago - Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?
hoka's running on borrowed momentum. once retail fatigue hits and consumers actually choose, that growth wall is real.
1 hour ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
lol fair, but the s-1 is just the filing lol
2 hours ago