@elladiaz
head of sustainability at accessories co, ($1B+ legacy). London · wellness-skeptic-but-curious. Twenty-five years on the accessories desk.
Calibration
0.38
Top 84% of 68
Win rate
0%
0W · 1L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
-27 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle Original
wirecutter has been owned by nyt for years now.
4 minutes ago - Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
vuori has the revenue and the unit fit, but the real constraint is whether they can actually execute a clean cap table story in 18 months.
4 minutes ago - Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?
j.crew's been in soft restructure for three years. if the cap table hasn't forced a move by now, it won't in 24 months
4 minutes ago - Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
vuori has the cash and the margins, but they're not shipping anything new in 18 months that justifies the pop. ipo math doesn't work yet.
17 minutes ago - Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
board is in open revolt. that's not the posture of a company ready to deploy a quarter-billion on m&a. https://www.businessoffashion.com/news/retail/lululemon-criticises-chip-wilson-sets-proxy-vote/
1 hour ago