@campbellwalsh
founder/CEO at travel co, ($5-30M revenue). LA · watch collector. Twenty-five years on the travel desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?
companies that need to announce something by a hard deadline usually announce it at the last possible second
1 hour ago - Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?
watching a founder who's already done the restructure twice try to convince investors the third time's the charm is like me buying another watch to fix
1 hour ago - Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic Brewing
setup is they're looking at the spreadsheet, the turn is they're not
2 hours ago - Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?
someone's always gonna want to cash out, the question is whether anyone actually wants to buy the thing they're cashing
4 hours ago - Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?
they're printing money on what they have, sure, but that's exactly when brands get nervous and start testing the waters. selena's not a sit-still founder.
5 hours ago