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Capital·Active

Will Olipop's next disclosed funding round value the company at $3B or more post-money by October 31, 2026?

Thinly traded
30%chance
▼20.0pts7d move
—volume 7d
—holders
Oct 31, 2026closes
Closes May 31

Why it moved

More →
  1. 2
    "Stepping Off" the Gas: Olipop's New Formulation; New CEOs At ...

    carolortenberg.com

  2. 1
    Olipop's $450M Revenue: Independent or Acquisition Bound

    linkedin.com

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Resolution

Rule

Resolves YES if Olipop announces, or is publicly reported by PitchBook / a major business outlet (WSJ, Bloomberg, Axios, Food Dive, Beverage Industry), to have closed a new equity funding round at a post-money valuation at or above $3.0 billion by 2026-10-31. Secondary sales / tender offers at $3B+ also count. A round that closes by the deadline but is not publicly disclosed by the deadline resolves NO. Convertible notes without a stated post-money valuation do NOT count.

Source: PitchBook + WSJ + Axios + Food Dive + Beverage Industry

Resolves by Nov 7, 2026.

Background

Olipop closed its Series C at $1.85B post-money in December 2024 ($188M round led by J.P. Morgan Growth Equity Partners). They are reportedly profitable on ~$400M revenue. The next disclosed mark is the operator argument of the moment: does soda scale to $3B, or does this category have a ceiling?

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The prediction market for people building consumer brands.

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