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Capital·Active

Will Athletic Brewing file an S-1 OR announce a sale to AB InBev, Heineken, Constellation, or Molson Coors by December 31, 2026?

Thinly traded
25%chance
▼25.0pts7d move
—volume 7d
—holders
Dec 31, 2026closes
Closes May 31

Why it moved

More →
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    Why Athletic Brewing Focused on People, Not Just Product

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  3. 4
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  4. 5
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  5. 2
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  6. 1
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    fooddive.com

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Resolution

YES if

EITHER (a) a Form S-1 (or S-1/A, F-1) from Athletic Brewing Company appears on sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar by 2026-12-31, OR (b) Anheuser-Busch InBev, Heineken, Constellation Brands, or Molson Coors publicly announces the acquisition of Athletic Brewing Company (any percentage that qualifies as a controlling interest or buyout) by 2026-12-31. Confirmed via SEC EDGAR, acquirer press release, or major business press (WSJ, Bloomberg, Axios, Reuters).

Source: sec.gov EDGAR + acquirer press release

Resolves by Jan 7, 2027.

Background

Athletic Brewing closed a $50M Series D from General Atlantic in July 2024 at a rumored ~$1B valuation. Non-alc beer is the hottest beer-adjacent category, with the major brewers all building or buying non-alc shelf. The exit question is which path - public markets or strategic.

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The prediction market for people building consumer brands.

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